Last night was a perfect illustration of a night to overlook my FanDuel MLB DFS Picks.
I took a risk with rostering left-hander Brendan McKay against a group at the Seattle Mariners that can hit the ball hard but also strikes out a lot, and the former is what ended up happening. McKay surrendered seven runs (but just three earned) in two innings of work since he allowed three hits — including 2 home runs — along with three walks with just 1 strikeout. That is the pitching performance we have seen annually in these types of lineups.
Our four-man D-backs pile did??some??harm as Ketel Marte continued his breakout season along with his 26th home run, a two-run shot. He also added a stroll. David Peralta climbed within a two-hit nighttime together with two RBI and Eduardo Escobar felt a run and walked. Add in a zero out of Christian Walker and the consequences of this high-upside, four-man stack were disappointing to be sure.
Our three-man Reds pile was simply barbarous as a stroll from the Phillip Ervin and Eugenio Suarez was that the sole contributions we would get from this collection.
Lastly, we obtained a few good value from one third shortstop Wilfredo Tovar who knocked a set of singles to us since a minimal $2,000 cost.
Let us put this one behind us now and move forward to tonight’s plump 15-game main slate!
P — Sonny Gray (CIN) — $10,400 vs. SD
There is tons of arms on this masterpiece that draw your attention such as Clayton Kershaw, Stephen Strasburg, Shane Bieber and Aaron Nola, however I like Gray because his price isn’t at the level that Kershaw is at over $12K, however the upside could be just as strong as he chooses on the San Diego Padres tonight at home. The boundaries of Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati are of the hitter-friendly surroundings, however that has not stopped?? Gray from twirling a 3.15 ERA, 3.23 FIP, 3.48 xFIP and a big-time 10.62 K/9 at home. The latter of those numbers are exceptional to his characters on the street, as is his 3.86 K/BB at home as he has run into some command issues on the road with a 4.08 BB/9, but possesses a pleasant 2.75 mark in your home. Gray has been especially notable of late, entering this 1 tonight riding a three-start scoreless streak as he has not allowed a run over his last 18 innings with 24 strikeouts in that span. His final two outings have come at home and he has hurled 11 innings of shutout ball in that time with 17 strikeouts to boot. The strikeout upside gets a top notch in the ideal direction as the Padres possess the league’s second-highest strikeout rate versus right-handed piching using a K-rate of 26.4% off of them. Given the strikeout upside in this matchup and his latest work, Gray seems to be a great play on this huge slate.
C/1B — Anthony Rizzo (CHC) — $4,200 vs. SF
I really haven’t stacked against the Giants far this season as they have a high 10 bullpen to back their starters, although I believe that the Cubs have some real nice upside , as do the oddsmakers in they have a large 5.9 run projection in this stage in time. The Cubs will take on right-hander Tyler Beede with scuffled to the tune of a 5.77 ERA along with 5.42 FIP about the season to go together with a 1.85 HR/9 speed. He’s been touched to get a 6.23 ERA on the road to go along with a 5.82 FIP and also 1.89 HR/9 clip. Finally, Beede has recently posted a 9.95 ERA around three August starts to this point using a 2.64 HR/9 contrary, so there’s loads of reason to think that this Cubs team could put some runs on the board in a big way tonight. Enter Rizzo who’s once more doing some big-time harm against right-handed pitching with a .240 ISO, .960 OPS, .401 wOBA along with also a 148 wRC+ against them for the season. He’s seen his ISO dip to .179 at home versus righties, but his .962 OPS, .407 wOBA and 152 wRC+ are all superior at home versus his marks on the road versus righties. Rizzo homered in his last game at Williamsport, the home of the Little League World Series, against the Pirates, his second long ball on his final four matches. For him to continue to swing a more potent rod in this one 16, let us look.
2B — Cesar Hernandez (PHI) — $2,500 vs. BOS
After selecting Gray as my pitcher along with a four-man Cubs stack to direct the Warriors in this lineup, I had to be selective with all the rest of my selections from a salary standpoint because there wasn’t a ton to invest on every player at that point. But, I’ve found a low-owned mini-stack that may pay some big benefits in a favorable matchup tonight, starting here with Hernandez. Hernandez’s Phillies take on the Red Sox along with also left-hander Brian Johnson within this 1 tonight, so he of a grisly 6.45 ERA, 5.95 FIP and 5.99 xFIP on the season to cooperate with a big 2.01 HR/9 against too. He has been hit hard by right-wing nerves in his brief time at the bigs this season, and the switch-hitting Hernandez will indeed swing from the perfect side against him. The electricity is improved from the left side of the plate, even though he’s smacked eight of his 23 doubles versus a lefty and he’s struck eight overall home runs and discharged seven overall bases to provide us some power/speed upside down here. Usually I only use him righties, however given how bad Johnson has been right-handed nerves and the simple fact that he’s likely to become part of a mini-stack in low ownership, I will roll the dice around the Phillies’ second baseman tonight.
3B — Sean Rodriguez (PHI) — $2,200 vs. BOS
We’ll complete the Phillies mini-stack here in order as Rodriguez looks to give us some value tonight against the struggling Johnson. Rodriguez has ever made his big league cash hitting pitching for notable power. For this time, he’s hitting .267 using a .222 ISO, .842 OPS, .356 wOBA and 119 wRC+ from left handed pitching. When we compare that to his .154 typical, .059 ISO, .437 OPS, .201 wOBA and 18 wRC+ vs righties, we could see why Rodriguez begins almost entirely against left-wing pitching as he’s done during his lengthy major league tenure. In layman’s terms, Rodriguez has smacked all three of the homers from lefties from 45 at-bats with zero homers across 34 at-bats versus righties. Even the 34-year-old also posted a gigantic .356 ISO in Triple-A this season in limited action with an 1.000 OPS versus left-handed pitching. He rarely has an entire game as he is replaced when a right-handed reliever has been summoned to face him, but the second-last time he’d get four at-bats at a game, Rodriguez knocked three hits including a house run. He has struggled in mostly pinch-hit duty since, but I am still digging out the upside we are getting to get a lefty-masher at a near-minimum price versus a struggling left-hander tonight.
SS — Javier Baez (CHC) — $4,100 vs. SF
Next guy up in our Cubs heap is Baez who has superior numbers versus left-handed pitching, but I still very much want him in this pile versus a right-hander as well as he’s mashed them also. He does possess a enormous .333 ISO along with .998 OPS versus left-handed pitching, however, Baez also sports a .240 ISO, .824 OPS, .337 wOBA along with 106 wRC+ vs right-handed pitching. He’s hit 20 of his 28 homers versus righties in addition to 30 of his own 34 doubles, but for some reason the Cubs have faced so few left-handers this season that the eight homers and four rebounds he has submitted versus lefties have his figures soaring against them. The stolen base upside down is there also with 10 steals on the season, however, interestingly only three of those have come at the cost of a right-wing pitcher. Having said that, Baez has fared much better at home versus right-handed throwing, thanks partly to the famous jet flow that blows outside to left field — Baez’s attraction area — in Wrigley Field in Chicago. Baez possesses a big-time .302 ISO, .961 OPS, .392 wOBA along with 142 wRC+ vs right-handed pitching at home this year. After slumping for a few games, Baez went 2 for 5 with a double and a run scored on the match at Williamsport on Sunday night, so let us search for him to assemble on this multi-hit campaign in this 1 tonight.
OF — Kyle Schwarber (CHC) — $3,300 vs. SF
Continuing our four-man Cubs stack is Schwarber who loves himself some right-handed pitching. Schwarber’s 28 long balls over the season are just two shy of tying his career-high of 30 place in the 2017 season, and 24 of these 28 extended balls have come against a pitcher that is right-wing like he will face tonight in the Giants’ Tyler Beede. Schwarber doesn’t hit for much common at all which drags his OPS and wOBA despite a few powerful walk amounts, no matter how the raw power is what we are looking for as he owns a .276 ISO versus righties to go along with an .835 OPS, .342 wOBA and 109 wRC+ versus opposite-handed pitching. Despite Wrigley Field perhaps not function as absolute most hitter-friendly venue for left-wing hitters like Schwarber, he still loves mashing righties in the home as he matches a .296 ISO, .918 OPS, .373 wOBA and 129 wRC+ vs righties in the home in comparison to a .257 ISO, .760 OPS, .315 wOBA and 91 wRC+ to the road versus righties. Schwarber has absolutely taken off in the second half of this season as we have seen earlier with him. Since returning from the All-Star break, Schwarber has posted a gigantic .344 ISO, .900 OPS, .368 wOBA along with 126 wRC+. At a fantastic example of a minimal average but plenty of electricity, three of Schwarber’s final five strikes have abandoned the yard. Start looking for more of the same contrary to a right-handed pitcher permitting the fair share of home runs.
OF — Ian Happ (CHC) — $3,100 vs. SF
Last man upward in our Cubs heap is Happ who certainly has a lot of pop into that bat. Happ has spent most of the season at the Triple-A level as a casualty of a statistics game at the Cubs outfield, although despite not exactly tearing it up in Triple-A using a .189 ISO along with 96 wRC+, Happ has submitted big-time amounts inside his big league tenure this season round hi 62 plate appearances. He owns a .291 ISO and 133 wRC+ at the major league level this year with four balls into his name. The switch-hitting utility man owns a .278 ISO, .937 OPS, .390 wOBA along with 140 wRC+ at his brief major league time this year versus right-handed pitching. He burst on the scene in 2017 with 24 home runs after a mid-season advertising, also switch-hitter owns superior career amounts versus righties using a .242 ISO, .845 OPS, .355 wOBA plus a 120 wRC+ versus righties when compared with some .171 ISO, .713 OPS, .303 wOBA along with 86 wRC+ versus lefties. He’s yet to swipe at a base in the big leagues this season, but did have nine stelas at 99 Triple-A matches this season and contains 16 stolen bases in 279 massive league games for his career, therefore we have a touch of stolen base upside here as well. I will take the cross-category upside down here in order to anchor our stack tonight.
OF — Lane Thomas (STL) — $2,300 vs. MIL
I’ll be completing this lineup using a set of one-of-a-kind outfielders, beginning here with Thomas who takes on left-hander Gio Gonzalez and the Milwaukee Brewers tonight. Gonzalez continues to be nice this season and isn’t a pitcher that I aim frequently, but almost all the damage against him comes from right-handed bats and Thomas has quite good numbers against lefties equally in the big leagues and minor league level this year. Entering this 1 tonight, Thomas is 4 for 2 with a homer and a triple versus left wing pitching at a tiny huge league sample this season. In addition, he attempted a steal versus a lefty, albeit an unsuccessful attempt, but does possess a steal off of a righty. On the other hand, the 23-year-old did post an .826 OPS versus lefties in the minors this season where he also found success on the basepaths with 11 steals to grow his 10 home runs. Two of his 11 steals from the minors were off of pitching. Thomas has a record of the precious power/speed combination in his minor league career as he homered 27 occasions and stole 17 bases around two levels last season and contains double handed steals in the minors in each of his two previous years. I believe we will get him at low possession on this particular slate and I am excited to see whether he can deliver some big-time worth against a southpaw pitcher.
UTIL — Joc Pederson (LAD) — $2,900 vs. TOR
Completing our lineup tonight is Pederson who takes a lot of value within this game in this price. The Dodgers have been set to carry on right-hander Sean Reid-Foley, a beginner to the Blue Jays who owns a 3.00 ERA in six starts and eight looks at the major league level, but also a 4.88 FIP and enormous 6.18 xFIP to go along with a tremendous 5.70 BB/9 speed also. What’s more, Reid-Foley has been brutalized at the Triple-A amount with a 6.26 ERA, 5.53 FIP and 5.31 xFIP to go together with a huge 6.80 BB/9 speed as well. Certainly, he’s due to a big-time regression in the big leagues after being roughed up from the minors this season. As is normally the case from a right-wing rookie, Pederson is estimated to hit at the leadoff spot tonight. He loves himself a few right-handed pitching because he owns a huge .272 ISO, .851 OPS, .354 wOBA and 121 wRC+ vs righties on the season while all his 24 long balls come against a righty. He’s a lot like Schwarber in the feeling he doesn’t reach for a average but instead power. He’s also enjoy Schwarber at the feeling he mashes righties in the home with Pederson possessing an eye-popping .381 ISO, 1.026 OPS, .416 wOBA along with 161 wRC+ in home versus righties this year. I believe I will take that kind of production out of this leadoff area that is precious tonight.
Last night was a perfect illustration of a night to overlook my FanDuel MLB DFS Picks.